Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1079.013127 1215.406300 1363.964795 1538.039124 1736.738628 1956.840693 2219.626236
2026-02-08 869.141742 1054.664259 1273.768571 1552.717339 1899.963840 2319.996287 2869.587298
2026-02-15 751.592676 959.507410 1219.074093 1569.150125 2032.339667 2628.859534 3462.785408
2026-02-22 674.662376 897.323247 1188.101552 1599.232978 2171.321903 2947.644299 4095.261539
2026-03-01 592.863044 815.708357 1117.811433 1562.168444 2207.330830 3122.606869 4542.041418
2026-03-08 523.317072 741.491565 1047.037601 1512.280723 2213.549473 3248.460318 4923.745575
2026-03-15 466.028263 677.851746 983.258209 1462.995337 2211.048036 3355.393561 5282.165273
2026-03-22 442.280101 660.203585 983.602077 1507.627015 2353.005180 3693.991637 6043.968502
2026-03-29 415.514192 635.013426 969.415090 1526.886657 2454.798210 3976.913986 6745.530965
2026-04-05 389.860037 608.913889 950.860958 1536.207721 2539.481715 4238.025561 7438.553672
2026-04-12 366.999580 585.044028 933.306434 1544.583471 2621.876755 4501.587362 8165.691056
2026-04-19 352.003072 572.502133 932.712120 1580.795502 2754.941155 4866.197090 9124.104959
2026-04-26 335.545432 556.613539 925.873147 1606.727345 2874.630777 5224.112110 10127.564872
2026-05-03 318.546047 538.442741 913.625854 1621.855249 2976.125104 5559.786138 11134.803187
2026-05-10 303.487155 522.308723 903.341961 1639.094900 3082.515497 5915.334581 12230.626728
2026-05-17 291.881393 511.279813 901.040483 1670.650637 3219.304569 6345.484972 13545.993386
2026-05-24 271.344196 482.473124 863.975720 1631.771728 3210.713164 6476.169219 14212.690378
2026-05-31 250.886695 452.309603 822.047172 1579.448556 3168.867531 6531.299869 14711.628623
2026-06-07 232.296735 424.343006 782.197428 1527.764811 3123.033447 6572.250766 15181.716881
2026-06-14 227.157601 421.550538 790.359787 1574.568055 3292.363689 7106.090421 16927.799651
2026-06-21 219.216309 412.736781 786.013516 1594.766731 3405.209518 7524.635053 18448.019897
2026-06-28 210.661659 402.097504 777.192780 1604.542675 3495.420098 7900.459187 19914.612161
2026-07-05 202.576282 391.824575 768.320148 1613.327401 3584.052377 8282.363465 21456.495740